FX Guys

Key PCE Inflation Gauge Rose 2.8% Annually in February as Expected

Headline PCE Reading: When factoring in volatile food and energy costs, the headline PCE reading for the month stood at 0.3%. On a 12-month basis, this index registered a 2.5% increase, matching expectations closely.

Impact on Monetary Policy

The consistent rise in inflation, meeting anticipated levels, is likely to maintain the Federal Reserve’s current stance on interest rates. With inflation in line with expectations, the central bank may delay any considerations for interest rate cuts, preferring to observe further economic developments.

Personal income increased by $66.5 billion (0.3%) in February, reflecting a steady uptick in economic activity. This growth, coupled with a $50.3 billion rise in disposable personal income (DPI), underscores improved financial conditions for consumers.

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) also…
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