US Jobless Claims Fall, But Rising Insured Unemployment Signals Labor Market Strain

US Jobless Claims Fall, But Rising Insured Unemployment Signals Labor Market Strain

On the insured unemployment front, the rate increased by 0.1 percentage points to 1.3% for the week ending December 14. Total insured unemployment claims climbed by 46,000 to 1,910,000 – the highest since November 2021. This rise indicates more individuals are staying on unemployment rolls, hinting at a slowdown in hiring or challenges in job transitions.

Unadjusted figures revealed a sharper increase in initial claims, with claims rising by 22,663 to 274,734. This 9% increase was slightly below the anticipated 9.3%, reflecting that while layoffs increased, they were in line with seasonal expectations. Compared to the same period in 2023, unadjusted claims showed minimal change, reinforcing steady year-over-year employment conditions.

How Does This Affect Market Sentiment?

Traders and market participants may view the data as a mixed signal. The modest decline in initial claims supports the view that layoffs remain…
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